Thursday, 16 August 2012

#6 - Technology

I find it quite fun visiting Futurist Blogs and websites and found one by Dave Evans 'Chief Futurist, CISCO IBSG Innovations Practice' to be of great interest and relevance to this project. He has listed his Top 25 Technology Predictions, however I have listed below only the ones of interest to me. You can find the whole list by following this link http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac79/docs/Top_25_Predictions_121409rev.pdf.

  • By the end of 2010, there will be a billion transistors per human - each costing one ten-millionth of a cent.
  • By 2020, a $1000 personal computer will have the raw processing power of a human brain.
  • Today, we know 5 percent of what we will know in 50 years. In other words, in 50 years, 95 percent of what we will know will have discovered in the past 50 years.
  • By 2010, 35 billion devices will be connected to the interent (nearly six devices per person on the planet).
  • By 2020, universal langauge transition will be commonplace in every device.
  • In the next five years, any surface will become a display. -> like Minority Report?
  • By 2025, teleportation at the particle level will begin to occur.
  • By 2030, artificial implants for the brain will take place.
Perhaps some more realistic predictions have been outlined by IBM http://www.forbes.com/sites/thestreet/2011/12/20/ibms-tech-predictions-for-the-next-5-years/to occur over the next 5 years:

  1. "People Power" - capturing kinetic energy from doing any number of activities.
  2. No passwords - use of biometric data such as facial recognition, retinal scans and voice files will make passwords obselete.
  3. Mind reading - headsets with sensors to read brain activity and recognise facial expressions. -> interesting possibilities for 'positive advertising' as touched on previous post about last week's tutorial activity
  4. No more digital divide - the gap between the haves and have-nots will cease to exist.
  5. Junk mail no longer 'junk' - spam will be so personalised, one will find it relevant to daily life. -> like our 'positive advertising' idea?

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